BJP heading for rude shock in Gujarat

• Yogendra Yadav, a leader of the political organisation Swaraj Abhiyan with nearly two decades of experience as a psephologist, had based his projections on the data collected in three surveys since August by CSDS-ABP. He said the results if the Gujarat polls could be subdivided between urban, semi-urban, and rural areas.
• The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) could be in for a rude shock in the Gujarat Assembly elections, said noted political scientist Yogendra Yadav on Wednesday — a day before the last phase of voting in the state.
• In a tweet, Yadav said the BJP was “on a solid wicket” in the 39 urban seats. “It can’t lose more than 10 seats [in urban areas].” In semi-urban areas, where it now has 36 seats, it might lose half. Yadav forecast that the BJP faced a “steady downhill” in the 98 rural seats, where it had trailed the Congress in 2012 Assembly polls, and could now face a rout.
• He told this newspaper that he was no longer in the business of election forecasting. But, given the very loud silence (around election forecast and coverage), and in the larger public interest, someone needed to say it.”
• He said it seemed to him that all observers — journalists, pollsters and other analysts — were sitting with evidence that pointed in one direction. “For various reasons, they were not putting all that evidence together, which pointed to the most obvious conclusion. That is why I decided to put it in the public domain.”

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The fact that PM Modi addressed 34 rallies, like CM of Gujarat, and 40 central ministers and innumerable number of BJP leaders from other states are also camping in Gujarat indicates nervousness of BJP. In his rallies Modi neither talked about development nor his achievements as Prime Minister. He spent most time in abusing Congress. In his abuses he spared no one in the opposition but failed to highlight what action he has taken to book these culprits, if they were so. He stooped to such a low, even BJP leaders were amused at his self character assassination. With almost all segments of societies against him due to agrarian distress, demonetisation, GST, joblessness, inflation etc there is noway BJP will win just with support urban elite & middle class who lives in disconnect with rural India and enjoyed benefits of his misrule. Rahul Gandhi with his acumenship and in company of 3 Gujarati young turks provided alternative leadership to ventilate their anti incumbency anger. Media, by becoming another 'Modi Bhakt' has done a great disservice not only to nation but also to Modi & BJP.