Risk of doing nothing

 

Hardly a day goes by without a story that financial markets are in “bubble” territory. Stock markets around the world are at record highs and bond yields are at record lows. The former means that valuations are at the upper end of historic ranges. The latter has meant that many unusual things can be sold to investors anxious for yield. 

• Investors remain nervous and many choose to hold significant amounts of cash. This appears to be a conservative strategy but in fact it is a rather risky one. The obvious problem is that with rates at record lows you receive virtually no interest on your capital.
• The bigger problem is that with inflation running well above the level of interest rates the conservative strategy of putting money in the bank is actually destroying your purchasing power at an alarming rate. As inflation has been higher than the interest you have been receiving, your purchasing power has been declining.
• Bank interest rates are likely take a long time before the bank rate gets above the inflation rate. Consequently this trend of real capital loss from holding cash will continue for years.
• While we are conscious that there are fewer opportunities to find attractively valued investments, we continue to dedicate your resources to finding such opportunities.
• Risks that affect investments are -- doing nothing risk, inflation risk, market risk, specific risk, currency risk, default risk, sector risk, liquidity risk, false confidence risk, duration risk and leverage risk.

A diversified equity portfolio, or a balanced portfolio of equities, corporate credit and government bonds, are expected to continue to provide investors with capital growth in real terms. In fact such portfolios may be less risky to your financial well-being than sticking your money in the bank.

The only certainty is uncertainty. There is no such thing as “risk free”. 

Even government and banks can or have the potential to default. 

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the value of such investments and their strategies may fall as well as rise. Capital security is never guaranteed. Yields on investments may fall or rise on the performance of the investment and the financial markets.  As such no warranty can be given that the yields will consistently attain such levels over any given period.